I’ve never been a fan of cricket but my family growing up were and there were numerous copies of Wisden in the house, which for those who don’t know of it is best described here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisden_Cricketers%27_Almanack I guess some in the house hoped that I might find it intriguing and I could see the appeal but resisted.
These days we’ve got something better! All the fun of tables of dry numbers PLUS science fiction books! I don’t have a round up of other takes on the numbers yet though.
Normally Brandon Kempner at Chaos Horizon has posted something by now but there’s not been a post there since February. I hope he is OK.
Greg Hullender of Rocket Stack Rank is actually in Helsinki – and having a fun time I hope – so probably won’t post anything yet.
In the comments JJ gave links to three rich sources of data:
The first one is great for seeing EPH in action.
A quick recap. For EPH there are two things in play, a raw total of votes and a weighted total or points. The raw total doesn’t change and is the most important. The points do change. Each voters ballot per category counts as 1 point in total (I think) and those points are divided across each thing voted for. Vote for one thing then that’s one vote and one point for that thing. Vote for two things then that’s one vote each and 0.5 points for each thing. As works get eliminated, the ballots 1 point gets shared between fewer things.
It is narcissistic but I’m going to look at Fanwriter because 1. ego and 2. the Rabids had two nominees. The tables show the top 15, so there will have been some rounds of elimination before this.
I’ve screenshot this table I made because WP keeps mangling it. The extra column shows, on average how many points each vote is worth at this point. Note that Jeffro’s are different from Morgan’s, the other Castalia House blogger in the nominations.
I think it is safe to assume Morgan’s 50 votes are shared directly with Jeffro’s. Note also the difference in votes between the two is 30 and the difference in points between the two is 30. I.e. Jeffro’s points formula is 50*0.5 + 30*1. So, at this stage, Morgan appears to be exclusively on ballots with Jeffro and only Jeffro, and the other ballots with Jeffro have nobody else on it.
To see this clearly, I’ve added columns that show how the points change as the ballot continues. The changes are small because it is only points we are looking at.
Note that in nearly all cases, when somebody gets eliminated everybody gets some more points except Morgan and Jeffro until…Morgan is eliminated and only Jeffro gets points. OK, that is not much of a revelation given what we know already, but it is nice to see how it works in reality.
I put totals along the bottom. but I’m not sure how to read them. The total of the points column doesn’t mean much but points total / total votes should give an average sense of how much each vote was worth. However, for subsequent rounds, we don’t know how many ballots are still in play and how many are exhausted.
In terms of EPH, the table is a little hard to follow because the ordering matters with the process. On the PDF it is the name in red that matters. At each stage it is the bottom two ON POINTS who are then paired off ON VOTES (unless it is a tie – in which case points).
You can see this following Alexandra Erin’s line. She is last (or second to last) on points for several rounds but in each case, she has more actual votes than the other nominee. Low points do not mean you get eliminated, it just means that your total votes get compared more often with another candidate.
In the last stages, Natalie Luhrs has fewer points than I do but more votes and then the same with Mark Oshiro. I think this is an aspect of EPH that people find confusing. The points make it seem like some votes are worth more than others but in general raw votes are what matter. It might not quite look that way if you look at me versus Mark Oshiro but that’s misleading because the system never actually pairs me and Mark. However, Jeffro’s (semi) bullet voting works by pushing his points high enough that he didn’t end up in a knockout test with another nominee around 80 votes.