In Pittsburgh, eleven people have been murdered in what is obviously an anti-Semitic attack. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/oct/27/pittsburgh-synagogue-shooting
This follows a week of bombs disguised as packages sent to a variety of targets, each of which being people regarded as enemies by the US right. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/oct/27/cesar-sayoc-pipe-bomb-suspect-court-date-trump
Almost overlooked among that violence was a third incident: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/oct/25/kentucky-kroger-grocery-store-shooting in which two people were murdered in a racially motivated shooting.
I’m not going to link to the crap being posted on some of the right-wing sites I still track. It is the mix you will expect: deflection, denial, jokes and conspiracy theories about the first two incidents I listed above and blankly ignoring the shooting in Kentucky. The difference between the more extreme people (let’s call them ‘Rabids’) and the less extreme (let’s call them ‘Sads’) is that the Rabids are more overtly pushing a conspiracy theory of false-flags and paid provocateurs, whereas the Sads are either joking about how the bombs look fake or rhetorically asking what the odds are that two such events (actually three) would occur around the same time.
The sad truth is that an attempted mass shooting is quite likely in a given week in the US. Data from the Global Terrorism Database shows that the total number of armed assaults with features of terrorism have been increasing over the last decade in America.
This graph from the GTD data shows the frequency of armed assaults and bombing incidents in the US 2007-2017. The increase is due to shootings.
The high frequency of such cases makes it easy to appear to ‘predict’ them. Far-right websites claiming that this week’s parcel bombs were a hoax or a false flag, made a big deal of ‘predicting’ that a mass shooting would be the next thing. In truth, it would be hard for such a ‘prediction’ to go wrong, particularly with an open-ended time period.
Murderers motivated by right-wing ideology are not new in the US but the frequency of such attacks is growing. As the frequncy grows, the lies about such attacks intensify on the right as well.