It’s more fun to watch a competition with some bets on the action. I’ve no actual money on the results but if I was gambling these are my guesses. Note that these are not neccesarily what I voted #1 on my ballot or what I think *should* win, just what I’m guessing will win.
Hugo ceremony starts at 8 pm Pacific Daylight Time which is 1 pm (Monday) Sydney Time and 4 am (Monday) London. Coverage details are here http://www.thehugoawards.org/2018/08/2018-hugo-ceremony-coverage-plans/
- The Stone Sky, by N.K. Jemisin (Orbit) – it’s a solid set of nominees but no book really stands out from the set like the Broken Earth trilogy does.
- All Systems Red, by Martha Wells (Tor.com Publishing) – I think this is almost the clear winner on lots of levels but “And Then There Were (N-One),” by Sarah Pinsker might win instead.
- Don’t know.
Best Short Story
- “Carnival Nine,” by Caroline M. Yoachim (Beneath Ceaseless Skies, May 2017) but “Sun, Moon, Dust” by Ursula Vernon, and “Welcome to your Authentic Indian Experience™,” by Rebecca Roanhorse are about as likely I think.
- The Divine Cities, by Robert Jackson Bennett (Broadway) but InCryptid, by Seanan McGuire has the advantage of McGuire’s on-going popularity with Hugo voters and a strong fanbase.
Best Related Work
- No Time to Spare: Thinking About What Matters, by Ursula K. Le Guin (Houghton Mifflin Harcourt) but maybe A Lit Fuse: The Provocative Life of Harlan Ellison, by Nat Segaloff
Best Graphic Story
- Monstress, Volume 2: The Blood, written by Marjorie M. Liu, illustrated by Sana Takeda (Image Comics)
Best Dramatic Presentation, Long Form
- Too hard to guess. It will be easy to pick a ‘why X won’ post-hoc in this category but at this point I’ve no idea.
Best Dramatic Presentation, Short Form
- Black Mirror: “USS Callister,” written by William Bridges and Charlie Brooker, directed by Toby Haynes (House of Tomorrow). I wasn’t as enamoured of this as others were but it was a clever episode and Trek-nostalgia will give it an extra boost.
Best Editor, Short Form
- Lynne M. Thomas & Michael Damian Thomas – Another good year for Uncanny
Best Editor, Long Form
- Don’t know.
Best Professional Artist
- Victo Ngai – spectacular covers
- Uncanny Magazine, edited by Lynne M. Thomas & Michael Damian Thomas, Michi Trota, and Julia Rios; podcast produced by Erika Ensign & Steven Schapansky
- Don’t know – I really don’t know. I wouldn’t be surprised by any of the finalists winning.
- Don’t know
Best Fan Writer
- Ha, ha, not saying 🙂 [not likely to be me though]
Best Fan Artist
- Likhain (M. Sereno)
Lodestar Award for Best Young Adult Book
- Summer in Orcus, written by T. Kingfisher (Ursula Vernon), illustrated by Lauren Henderson (Sofawolf Press)
John W. Campbell Award for Best New Writer
- Not sure but I think Jeannette Ng or Rebecca Roanhorse