I promised this awhile ago but I’ll explain it all again.
- These are most definitely NOT predictions. I have no idea what will be a Dragon Award finalist and there are way to many unknowns to make a decent guess. In particular as far as I can tell the rules (which have reappeared) allow the admins to do anything.
- The titles listed are based on what I have found trawling the web looking for people who were, to some degree or other, promoting works to be nominated for a Dragon Award. I found a lot but who knows what I missed. I did find some stuff on Facebook but it and other places are hard to search inside of. Also, maybe some authors are promoting the Dragons like crazy in forums I cna’t access or on their email lists. Who knows? So large pinches of salt please.
- There is though a ‘status’ column and that is even a greater testament to hubris in data collection. The higher the status the more wallop I think the promotion of the work had – either in multiple places or by venues with known impact (e.g. the Rabid slate). “Low” though also includes stuff whose promotional impact I don’t know. Some are authors I don’t know but who may have some legion of highly devoted followers ever ready to throw their bodies and email addresses at an awards website. It is NOT any kind of assessment of the quality or even the popularity of the work – so if you an author and you see ‘very low’ next to your book, don’t be disheartened.
- So it is all a bit pointless then? No, no. Basically the more stuff on the list that appears as Dragon Awards finalists, the more the finalists were determined by overt public campaigning on blogs – and predominately from the Rabid and Scrappy corners. The less stuff on the list making it as finalists, then the less impact that kind of campaigning had on the Dragon Awards.
- So it is like a measure gauge of a kind rather than a prediction or even a projection I guess.
- But if there is a really good match between the list and the finalists then yeah I totally predicted it and am the guru of everything and ignore everything I just said.
|
Category |
Work |
Status |
|
Best Science Fiction Novel |
ALBION LOST by Richard Fox |
High |
|
Best Science Fiction Novel |
Escaping Infinity by Richard Paolinelli |
Medium |
|
Best Science Fiction Novel |
The Secret Kings by Brian Niemeier |
Medium |
|
Best Science Fiction Novel |
Rise by Brian Guthrie |
Very Low |
|
Best Fantasy Novel (Including Paranormal) |
A Sea of Skulls by Vox Day |
Very High |
|
Best Fantasy Novel (Including Paranormal) |
Live and Let Bite by Declan Finn |
Low |
|
Best Fantasy Novel (Including Paranormal) |
Ascend Online by Luke Chmilenko |
Very Low |
|
Best Fantasy Novel (Including Paranormal) |
Draigon Weather by Paige L. Christie |
Very Low |
|
Best Young Adult/Middle Grade Novel |
Swan Knight’s Son by John C. Wright |
Very High |
|
Best Young Adult/Middle Grade Novel |
Rachel and the Many Splendored Dreamland by L. Jagi Lamplighter. |
Medium |
|
Best Young Adult/Middle Grade Novel |
Towers of Earth by J.C.Conway |
Very Low |
|
Best Young Adult/Middle Grade Novel |
Firebrand: A Steeplejack Novel by A. J. Hartley |
Very Low |
|
Best Young Adult/Middle Grade Novel |
Cathedrals of Glass: A Planet of Blood and Ice by A.J.Hartley |
Very Low |
|
Best Military Science Fiction or Fantasy Novel |
STARSHIP LIBERATOR by B.V. Larson and David VanDyke |
High |
|
Best Military Science Fiction or Fantasy Novel |
THE SPAN OF EMPIRE, by Eric Flint and David Carrico |
Medium |
|
Best Military Science Fiction or Fantasy Novel |
Star Realms: Rescue Run by Jon Del Arroz. |
Medium |
|
Best Military Science Fiction or Fantasy Novel |
Allies and Enemies: Exiles by Amy J. Murphy |
Very Low |
|
Best Military Science Fiction or Fantasy Novel |
Invasion: Resistance by J.F. Holmes |
Very Low |
|
Best Military Science Fiction or Fantasy Novel |
Caine’s Mutiny by Charles E Gannon |
Very Low |
|
Best Military Science Fiction or Fantasy Novel |
In Dread Silence by C.J. Carella |
Very Low |
|
Best Alternate History Novel |
NO GODS, ONLY DAIMONS by Kai Wai Cheah |
High |
|
Best Alternate History Novel |
Breath of Earth by Beth Cato. |
Medium |
|
Best Alternate History Novel |
Another Girl, Another Planet by Louis Antonelli |
Low |
|
Best Alternate History Novel |
Crazy Horses by David J. West |
Low |
|
Best Apocalyptic Novel |
THE RETREAT #4: ALAMO by Craig diLouie, with Stephen Knight and Joe McKinney |
High |
|
Best Apocalyptic Novel |
A Place Outside The Wild by Daniel Humphreys |
Medium |
|
Best Apocalyptic Novel |
Codename: Unsub by Declan Finn & A. Yoskowitz |
Low |
|
Best Apocalyptic Novel |
ZK: Fallen by J.F. Holmes |
Very Low |
|
Best Horror Novel |
THE HIDDEN PEOPLE by Alison Littlewood |
High |
|
Best Horror Novel |
Live and Let Bite by Declan Finn |
Medium |
|
Best Horror Novel |
Blood of Invidia by Tom Tinney and Morgen Batten |
Low |
|
Best Horror Novel |
Murphy’s Law of Vampires by Declan Finn |
Low |
|
Best Comic Book |
Motor Girl #1 by Terry Moore. |
Low |
|
Best Comic Book |
Green Valley, vol. 1, from Image |
Low |
|
Best Comic Book |
Martian Magazine Comics, by Wormwood |
Low |
|
Best Comic Book |
Red Sonja: The Long Walk to Oblivion by writer Erik Burnham and artist Tom Mandrake. |
Low |
|
Best Graphic Novel |
Chew vol 12. – Sour Grapes by John Layman and Rob Guillory |
Low |
|
Best Graphic Novel |
Kingsway West by Greg Pak, Dark Horse |
Low |
|
Best Graphic Novel |
Nemu Nemu – Buzz Off Part One, Volume 4 |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy TV Series, TV or Internet |
LUCKY MAN by Sky 1 |
High |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy TV Series, TV or Internet |
Killjoys |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy TV Series, TV or Internet |
Sleepy Hollow |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy TV Series, TV or Internet |
Voltron: Legendary Defender, Netflix |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Movie |
LOGAN directed by James Mangold |
High |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Movie |
Passengers |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Movie |
Doctor Strange |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Movie |
Strike Witches: The Movie, Kazuhiro Takamura |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Movie |
Wonder Woman |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy PC / Console Game |
TOTAL WAR: WARHAMMER by Sega |
High |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy PC / Console Game |
Final Fantasy XV |
Medium |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Mobile Game |
LEGENDS OF CALLASIA by Boomzap Entertainment (the mobile release was Sep 2016) |
High |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Mobile Game |
Epic Card Game Digital |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Board Game |
GLOOMHAVEN by Cephalofair Games |
High |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Board Game |
Hero Realms |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Board Game |
Scythe from Stonemaier Game |
Low |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Miniatures / Collectible Card / Role-Playing Game |
DARK SOULS: THE BOARD GAME by Steamforged Games |
High |
|
Best Science Fiction or Fantasy Miniatures / Collectible Card / Role-Playing Game |
Star Wars: Destiny |
Low |
Camestros Felapton 
16 responses to “Time for those Dragon Projections!”
Well at least I can back one of those that you have rated “high” – I really like “Lucky Man”. I wonder if the support is due to the fact that the main villain is a woman who has to be redeemed by the love of a good man? And there were also relatively high profile plots about the horrible gays and the Chinese mafia. So I guess that maybe it garnered some alt-right popularity? Hey ho. I guess that sometimes I have to just accept that I will like some things that people I really don’t like also like. (Does that sentence make sense?)
And thank you for going to places so we don’t have to. 🙂
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I haven’t watched it. I have seen some episodes of Killjoys – which is not terrible.
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I’m thinking “The Expanse” might do well — it has enough ‘splosions for the RWNJ and isn’t notably political other than “terrorists bad, humans good, alien shit scary”.
Sleepy Hollow fridged the black woman who was the SWM’s equal/superior and replaced her with a nice subservient character played by a former gamerchick personality, so I’m thinking that’s good with Pups and Scrappys.
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The Expanse has a lot of politics going for it. The Belters are often shown as empathetic because Mars and Earth treat them as disposable. There’s a bunch of questions related to the ethics of ownership of an unknown powerful weapon and turning that lose on a population (if, when and how). If there’s an ongoing message in the show it’s that those in power often abuse it.
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[…] (13) PUPPY RADAR. Camestros Felapton has compiled a list of authors and works being promoted for the Dragon Awards in “Time for those Dragon Projections!” […]
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I don’t think Warhammer is eligible? It was released May 2016. Maybe if there’s been discussion of it they forgot they eligibility period.
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I haven’t looked at the eligibility aspect – too much like hard work for the Dragon Awards.
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Thanks for all your support for Star Realms: Rescue Run!
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No worries. Chapters 2,3,4,5 probably tomorrow from the world’s least competent critics.
I kind of like it – do you know the expression “It does what it says on the tin”? It’s a British thing maybe (it was from a set of hardware/paint products adverts) but I like to use it for books that are clear what they are and do that thing with competence.
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Ronseal!
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Thanks for checking it out. I trying to give something that I’d like to read: a Star Wars-y space opera adventure with good characters that come across as real, and no politics bogging it down. 🙂
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No politics? You have a conflict between the Star Empire and the Trade Federation and the alien Lyl’Bra. You literally have a room full of politicians talking to your main hero. You have a full on worker’s riot and portray *some* (not all) of the corporate execs arguing that the drugged workers should be left when they fall despite the toxic environment to save money.
You’ve got lots of politics and that is no bad thing. Tip 1: don’t downplay positive features of your own books!
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It’s amazing how every response I’ve ever seen you make online serves as a perfect example of Christian righteousness in action.
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Kathodus: It’s amazing how every response I’ve ever seen you make online serves as a perfect example of Christian righteousness in action.
Except for the trolling. And the harassment. And the lying. But yeah, other than that, a perfect example of Christian self-righteousness.
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“No politics? You have a conflict between the Star Empire and the Trade Federation and the alien Lyl’Bra. You literally have a room full of politicians talking to your main hero. You have a full on worker’s riot and portray *some* (not all) of the corporate execs arguing that the drugged workers should be left when they fall despite the toxic environment to save money.”
He doesn’t mean that kind of politics. He means references to current political issues – and certainly, everyone would agree that one should never have references to current politics in SF about the future; that would be like having “Star Trek” episodes about the Vietnam War (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Private_Little_War https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Taste_of_Armageddon) or stories in the 1950s about McCarthyism (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Martian_Way “The Brooklyn Project”). That kind of political reference is totally out of place in SF – as out of place as telling stories about getting laid on a yacht would be in front of Cub Scouts (another thing that Del would stand forthrightly against).
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[…] for starters look at this list of finalists and this set of projections from […]
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